Thursday Afternoon Update on Freezing Rain & Snow Potential...
February 13, 2025
Another round of moisture is coming up from the south.
The NWS has an Ice Storm Warning but they also only predicted a high temp of 30° for Cottage Grove today. At 2:00pm it's 38-39° in Cottage Grove, at milepost 168 it's 38.5°, and at Rice Hill it's 40.8°. Way above freezing. These current temperatures are way too warm RIGHT NOW for an "Ice Storm" here.
Temperatures from Creswell northward are at or just below freezing. That's where freezing rain and/or snow will be possible right now to midnight or little later.
THAT ALL SAID and for HERE, temperatures are going to start lowering so snow or freezing rain may soon become possible here - after 4:00pm-ish. HOWEVER, it looks like temperatures may then actually go up a little starting after about 10pm so the threat of any freezing rain really only exists here from about 5pm-11pm-ish. That's IF temperatures are able to be at or just below freezing for long enough here in Cottage Grove.
Bottom Line: Here in CG, as of 2:00pm it's currently way too warm for an Ice Storm but temps are starting to lower and freezing rain with possibly a small amount of ice accumulation can occur anytime mainly 4pm-10pm-ish. Snow is also possible but really only light amounts expected. Otherwise, expect some light showers, maybe a rain/snow mix at times, and possible freezing rain once (and IF) temps fall 32 or below which would potentially be between 4pm and 10pm -ish.
Remember that when dealing with winter weather, forecasts can change in a heart beat due to so much complexity with temperatures and ingredients needing to come together just right for ice, snow, sleet.
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