Weather Alert (Friday afternoon): Lots of rain heading towards us - by the end of the day on Monday it's looking like 3-4" will have fallen. Could see "some" lessening of the rain Saturday from 12-5pm, but the aggressiveness of the jet stream and strong low pressure systems could preclude that. Wind gusts to somewhere between 30-40 mph are expected - windiest period looks to be Saturday night through Sunday morning. MUCH colder later next week with lows possibly back into the mid/upper 20's.
While the upcoming rain may not be welcomed by some with all the scheduled events this upcoming weekend, we're finally going to get some much needed rain. At least three storm systems will bring 2-3" of back-to-back rain (maybe a brief break or two) from late Thursday morning or afternoon through Sunday. Expect it to be breezy with wind gusts of 20-30 mph likely (especially Sat/Sun). Snow levels above 3000'. Yet another storm may move in on Monday or Tuesday. Looking MUCH colder later next week. More on the cold in a few days.
Scroll down and check out the informational charts. You'll quickly see that the snow pack isn't doing too well (but plenty of time to make it up). The KNND weather station downtown shows that we're BEHIND by 5.52" of precipitation - and that's just for the month of November! Normal rainfall for November is 6.92"; we've only recorded 1.40".
I'm thankful for all of you! I'm thankful that you each have a purpose in this world! COLD: Remember that pets are unable to maintain their body warmth in these cold temps, so a nice warm spot inside is best. Much below normal temps through early next week, then gradual warming. Rain as early as Thursday, but may hold off until Friday. Snow levels possibly down to 3000'. Stay tuned!
**No significant weather-related travel concerns through the Tuesday after Thanksgiving (Nov 28) across the entire PacNW, Idaho, Nevada, and California.** All regional mountain passes will not have impactful snowfall (see next paragraph). Be mindful of ice on the roads in locations that have freezing temps and there may be areas of dense fog. High pressure will be in control of the west over the next 10-14 days, except for a minor "hiccup" on Wednesday (next paragraph).
A little "blip" on Wednesday into Thursday morning from a very weak storm system bringing a few light showers to the region. No snow on I-5 south through California. On the mountain passes north of Cottage Grove, snow is not expected to accumulate or stick.
Colder this week, below freezing lows later in the week through next weekend (lows 27-31°). Remember to keep pets inside since they won't be able to maintain their body warmth.
No major storms seen (at this time) through the Thanksgiving holiday weekend. That said:
Fri Nov 10: Light rain/showers tonight through Saturday (1/10" or less). Dry most of Sunday then light rain Sunday night-Monday (around 1/4"). Snow levels 5000' or higher. No wind concerns. Looks dry (right now) Tuesday-Friday, then rainy the following weekend (Sat Nov 18). Strong storm "possible" Mon Nov 20 (more details about this in the coming days). Thanksgiving may be dry (60% chance as it looks now but could change since it's still almost two weeks out).
Precipitation: Normal precipitation for all of November is 6.92". So far 1.37" has been recorded at KNND, 3.79" on Pitcher Lane, 3.70" near Cottage Grove Lake, and 1.52" near Creswell. The large differences in rain totals is mainly due to the storm on Sat Nov 4 that caused scattered heavy showers and thunderstorms. The heaviest portion of these showers/thunderstorms passed over certain weather stations. For example, the large difference between KNND and other area weather stations is because the thunderstorm that formed had the more intense rain on the east side of Cottage Grove and not the west side.
Sunday: What's up with the street flooding yesterday (Saturday)? First, let me update you on the weather real quick. Periods of rain and showers through Tuesday with an isolated thunderstorm possible. Winds can gust to around 25 mph at times. Total rainfall 3/4"-1.25", most of this occurring later this evening through Monday (doesn't it feel humid out?). Dry Wednesday and most of Thursday. Rain returns Thursday evening or night (looks like less than 1/2"). Saturday might be dry then more rain Sunday into the following week. Around Wed Nov 15 we might start getting colder storms with lower snow levels than what we've been having.
OK, so here's what happened with yesterday's street flooding:
SATURDAY: Turn clocks BACK one hour tonight before bed (DST officially ends 2:00am Sunday). Sunset tonight 6:00pm, sunrise Sunday 6:53am, sunset Sunday 4:59pm. Periods of rain/showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue through Tuesday with a brief break in the rainfall tonight. Total combined rainfall through Tuesday 1-1.50". Snow levels above 6000' through Sunday, then 5000' Monday, then 4000' Tuesday. Becoming cooler on Monday.
Drying out Tuesday evening through Thursday morning then more storms may pass through Thursday night into next weekend.
As of 5:00pm today (Sat) and since Nov 1, we've recorded 1.35" of rain at the KNND weather station in downtown Cottage Grove. Normal for all of November is 6.92" so we're off to a good start!
Good idea to test smoke detectors and change the batteries. Pick a routine that works best for you - when clocks change, your birthday, New Year's Day, etc. But keep the schedule you pick because smoke detectors save lives, thus the importance of having fresh batteries in them.
A series of four moderate strength low pressure systems will affect the region through Monday. Click here to see current weather conditions at KNND's weather station downtown
Tonight's the last night of freezing/near freezing low temps. It will stay dry through Halloween! In fact, a little warmer in the evening than what we've been seeing thanks to some cloud cover. Temperatures at sunset on Tuesday will be in the middle 50's and somewhere around 47-49 at 9:00pm. Very light breezes. Since 1892, 54% of Halloweens here have been wet.
Rain chances increase just before noon on Wednesday with solid rain moving in after 8:00pm (Wednesday). Looks like 1/2-2/3" Wed night through Thursday morning. Wind gusts 20 mph or less (no concerns). Additional storm systems will pass through Friday through Sunday, bringing 1"+ of additional rainfall and some wind gusts up to 25 mph at times (no worries). Typical fall storm systems. These will be "warm" storms so snow levels will be above 6000'.
At this time, more storms are possible next week but there's a small chance that high pressure may become re-established across the west and block storms for 3-5 days. Right now the pendulum leans towards more storms than dry weather. We desperately need the rain, so keep your fingers crossed.
EXTRA HOUR OF SLEEP SUNDAY MORNING! Clocks go BACK one hour at 2:00am Sunday!